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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine prompted the US, UK and Europe to sanction resources flowing from Russia towards North American and Europe, among other financial & individual-focused measures. Namely, the importation & exportation of energy resources is being eyed and exercised, such as oil and natural gas, which added more fuel (or oil) to the fire of globally-constrained energy reserves. Winter is coming, and Europe desperately needs natural gas to stay warm. The continent remains highly dependent on Russian gas, with imports amounting to 40% of EU’s total gas consumption in 2021, climbing to 65% in Germany.
The war between Russia and Ukraine put pressure on the whole world’s economy. Us, as consumers, can see the pressure in terms of inflation, or how our buying power is lower than it was before the war or before Covid pandemic. With other words, we can now buy less with the same amount of money that we were able to buy before. In the analysis you will find short comparison between the EU and USA economy before the war, and how it is now.
"We live in the most chaotic, hard-to-predict macroeconomic times in decades. The ingredients for a global recession are on the table". These were the daunting analyst notes of Seth Carpenter, which leads Morgan Stanley’s bank strategists. Inflation is at its highest in decades and macroeconomic instabilities are mounting.
It is impossible to talk about the global economic outlook to 2022 without addressing inflation. For decades, significant price increases have eluded most major markets. However, the World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2022 outlook warns that global economic recovery depends on balance amid new waves of COVID-19 disease, labour market challenges, persistent supply chain constraints and rising inflationary pressures. Overall economic optimism also continues to decline due to the geopolitical situation between Ukraine and Russia.
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